Computes Var(w₁ | a, b) using the law of total variance.
Details
Uses the law of total variance: $$Var(w_1) = E[Var(w_1 | \alpha)] + Var(E[w_1 | \alpha])$$
where w₁ | α ~ Beta(1, α), so:
E(w₁ | α) = 1/(1+α)
Var(w₁ | α) = α / ((1+α)²(2+α))
References
Lee, J. (2026). Design-Conditional Prior Elicitation for Dirichlet Process Mixtures. arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.06301.
See also
Other weights_w1:
cdf_w1(),
density_w1(),
mean_w1(),
prob_w1_exceeds(),
quantile_w1(),
summary_w1()