Dirichlet Process Prior Elicitation

Replication guide

Author

JoonHo Lee (jlee296@ua.edu)

Prior elicitation for Dirichlet process mixtures

This guide describes the replication code for Design-Conditional Prior Elicitation for Dirichlet Process Mixtures: A Unified Framework for Cluster Counts and Weight Control (Lee 2026).

The concentration parameter affects both the number of occupied clusters in a sample and the distribution of probability among population clusters. We first choose a hyperprior to match a judgment about the number of clusters. We then examine its implications for the weights. When these implications are implausible, the Dual-Anchor procedure adjusts the prior and reports the resulting change in the count distribution.

Cluster counts and population weights for a study with 50 units.

We provide examples of prior calibration, a simulation study and applications to educational and psychometric data. The getting-started chapter gives the commands for rebuilding the tables and figures. This calculation uses the supplied simulation and model summaries, so it requires no new model fitting or respondent data. Subsequent chapters explain the analyses and show how to prepare source data and fit selected models.

Analysis Chapter
Count calibration and weight diagnostics Prior elicitation
Simulation design and comparisons Simulation
STAR, writing-to-learn and credit recovery Applications
Vocabulary responses and score reliability Rasch model
Verification and new model fits Verification and refitting

The table and figure index links each result to its data and R script. It includes analyses developed after the initial preprint; table and figure numbers refer to the materials in this repository. OSM denotes the online supplementary material.

Reference

Lee, JoonHo. 2026. Design-Conditional Prior Elicitation for Dirichlet Process Mixtures: A Unified Framework for Cluster Counts and Weight Control. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2602.06301.