Six distinct converged fits, each using 16,000 draws. MCSE describes simulation uncertainty of each posterior summary; apparent zero probabilities can reflect rounding.
| label | E_K | E_K_mcse | q025_K | q975_K | p_K1 | p_K1_mcse | alpha_mean | alpha_q025 | alpha_q975 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vague | 4.43431 | 0.0476748 | 2 | 10 | 0.0055625 | 0.001312670 | 0.645898 | 0.0667218 | 1.91301 |
| Literature default | 3.50762 | 0.0309417 | 2 | 8 | 0.0103750 | 0.002029829 | 0.384707 | 0.0418167 | 1.11593 |
| TSMM | 4.30069 | 0.0446104 | 2 | 9 | 0.0026250 | 0.000936859 | 0.593938 | 0.1230169 | 1.44288 |
| Dual-Anchor | 6.73475 | 0.0334280 | 3 | 12 | 0.0000000 | 0.000000000 | 1.293658 | 0.7939417 | 1.90629 |
| Dual-Anchor (hard) | 8.99231 | 0.0339512 | 5 | 14 | 0.0000000 | 0.000000000 | 2.000001 | 1.9978581 | 2.00220 |
| Count 25 | 11.71881 | 0.0669842 | 5 | 20 | 0.0000000 | 0.000000000 | 2.996804 | 1.3748949 | 5.20334 |