Six distinct fitted priors. Count 25 is the sensitivity TSMM prior shared by its Dual-Anchor roles. The 2–10 probability evaluates the main judgment, not the Count-25 target. Literature default: Paganin et al. (2023).
| label | a | b | E_K | q05 | q95 | Pr_K_2_to_10 | wsb_gt_05 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vague | 1.00000e+00 | 1.00000e+00 | 6.43503 | 1 | 17 | 0.6842672 | 0.5906161 |
| Literature default | 1.00000e+00 | 3.00000e+00 | 3.03148 | 1 | 8 | 0.6756600 | 0.8123153 |
| TSMM | 2.10623e+00 | 3.07888e+00 | 5.00000 | 1 | 11 | 0.8491264 | 0.6520315 |
| Dual-Anchor | 2.02968e+01 | 1.45089e+01 | 8.75209 | 4 | 14 | 0.7358505 | 0.3878221 |
| Dual-Anchor (hard) | 3.26899e+06 | 1.63450e+06 | 11.58964 | 7 | 17 | 0.3728992 | 0.2500000 |
| Count 25 | 8.90373e+00 | 1.62562e+00 | 25.00000 | 13 | 39 | 0.0150993 | 0.0423356 |