The 36 completed trajectories in the current OSM: TSMM/Dual-Anchor at VIF=2.5 and the six displayed Dual-Anchor VIF=5 cells. The full medium-confidence audit contains 60 cells, 56 reportable; see data-derived/simulation/misspecification_medium.csv for that separate population.
| prior | K_true | I_target | VIF | r | effective_lambda | n_scientific_eligible | mean_E_K | mean_p_K1 | mean_tau_rmse | coverage95_K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSMM | 5 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | -- | 200 | 1.15570 | 0.881802250 | 0.234027 | 0.00000000 |
| TSMM | 5 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | -- | 200 | 1.51044 | 0.709146896 | 0.234441 | 0.55000000 |
| TSMM | 5 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | -- | 200 | 3.41030 | 0.391468833 | 0.235590 | 1.00000000 |
| TSMM | 5 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | -- | 182 | 1.09533 | 0.924015499 | 0.118945 | 0.00000000 |
| TSMM | 5 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | -- | 186 | 1.34696 | 0.795271853 | 0.118679 | 0.11290323 |
| TSMM | 5 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 2.0 | -- | 180 | 3.11272 | 0.495835556 | 0.118778 | 1.00000000 |
| TSMM | 10 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | -- | 200 | 1.51275 | 0.708673375 | 0.234038 | 0.00000000 |
| TSMM | 10 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | -- | 200 | 3.40996 | 0.390655917 | 0.235166 | 1.00000000 |
| TSMM | 10 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | -- | 194 | 15.03263 | 0.029305649 | 0.236690 | 1.00000000 |
| TSMM | 10 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | -- | 182 | 1.34577 | 0.796624748 | 0.117693 | 0.00000000 |
| TSMM | 10 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | -- | 183 | 3.09861 | 0.495474408 | 0.117498 | 1.00000000 |
| TSMM | 10 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 2.0 | -- | 163 | 15.14001 | 0.038505240 | 0.117417 | 1.00000000 |
| TSMM | 30 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | -- | 198 | 8.52585 | 0.137372275 | 0.237034 | 0.00000000 |
| TSMM | 30 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | -- | 177 | 25.12388 | 0.001506462 | 0.237904 | 1.00000000 |
| TSMM | 30 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | -- | 156 | 47.42797 | 0.000444525 | 0.239671 | 1.00000000 |
| TSMM | 30 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | -- | 184 | 8.63136 | 0.174786413 | 0.116820 | 0.00000000 |
| TSMM | 30 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | -- | 168 | 24.78360 | 0.001953745 | 0.117207 | 1.00000000 |
| TSMM | 30 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 2.0 | -- | 155 | 48.37399 | 0.000534462 | 0.117568 | 1.00000000 |
| Dual-Anchor | 5 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.02 | 184 | 3.35076 | 0.272169203 | 0.118307 | 1.00000000 |
| Dual-Anchor | 5 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.12 | 182 | 1.60510 | 0.732775183 | 0.118722 | 0.96703297 |
| Dual-Anchor | 5 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.00 | 179 | 1.52203 | 0.797983554 | 0.118800 | 0.88268156 |
| Dual-Anchor | 10 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.16 | 200 | 2.47756 | 0.431942635 | 0.234976 | 0.01500000 |
| Dual-Anchor | 10 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.00 | 200 | 3.41210 | 0.390461542 | 0.235180 | 1.00000000 |
| Dual-Anchor | 10 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.00 | 193 | 15.03462 | 0.029175302 | 0.236543 | 1.00000000 |
| Dual-Anchor | 10 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.16 | 187 | 2.19104 | 0.544573429 | 0.117632 | 0.00534759 |
| Dual-Anchor | 10 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.12 | 180 | 1.61479 | 0.729902569 | 0.117711 | 0.00000000 |
| Dual-Anchor | 10 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.00 | 182 | 3.07758 | 0.498377656 | 0.117663 | 1.00000000 |
| Dual-Anchor | 10 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.00 | 182 | 1.53365 | 0.795388690 | 0.117863 | 0.00549451 |
| Dual-Anchor | 10 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.00 | 169 | 15.12566 | 0.037321326 | 0.117261 | 1.00000000 |
| Dual-Anchor | 10 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.00 | 127 | 4.73924 | 0.534109219 | 0.117470 | 1.00000000 |
| Dual-Anchor | 30 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.00 | 200 | 8.51919 | 0.138055938 | 0.237088 | 0.00000000 |
| Dual-Anchor | 30 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.00 | 171 | 25.11456 | 0.001533516 | 0.238282 | 1.00000000 |
| Dual-Anchor | 30 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.00 | 152 | 47.36338 | 0.000475521 | 0.239441 | 1.00000000 |
| Dual-Anchor | 30 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.00 | 185 | 8.61228 | 0.177254459 | 0.117357 | 0.00000000 |
| Dual-Anchor | 30 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.00 | 154 | 24.88421 | 0.001833171 | 0.117871 | 1.00000000 |
| Dual-Anchor | 30 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.00 | 158 | 48.36797 | 0.000422600 | 0.117967 | 1.00000000 |