I=.2 and N(0,1). SD describes between-replication variability of posterior means. Collapse is posterior P(K=1), averaged over retained fits.
| K* | Prior | Mean K (SD) | Bias | RMSE | Collapse probability | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vague | 1.50 (0.11) | -3.50 | 3.50 | 0.725 | 0.535 |
| 5 | DORO-Unif | 1.94 (0.17) | -3.06 | 3.07 | 0.536 | 1.000 |
| 5 | TSMM | 1.75 (0.14) | -3.25 | 3.25 | 0.616 | 0.965 |
| 5 | Dual-Anchor | 3.00 (0.27) | -2.00 | 2.02 | 0.315 | 1.000 |
| 5 | SSI-Weight | 3.41 (0.37) | -1.59 | 1.63 | 0.383 | 1.000 |
| 10 | Vague | 1.51 (0.12) | -8.49 | 8.49 | 0.723 | 0.000 |
| 10 | DORO-Unif | 2.60 (0.31) | -7.40 | 7.40 | 0.516 | 0.980 |
| 10 | TSMM | 4.26 (0.40) | -5.74 | 5.76 | 0.269 | 1.000 |
| 10 | Dual-Anchor | 4.26 (0.39) | -5.74 | 5.75 | 0.269 | 1.000 |
| 10 | SSI-Weight | 3.42 (0.38) | -6.58 | 6.59 | 0.382 | 1.000 |
| 30 | Vague | 1.51 (0.13) | -28.49 | 28.49 | 0.723 | 0.000 |
| 30 | DORO-Unif | 3.57 (0.57) | -26.43 | 26.44 | 0.600 | 0.097 |
| 30 | TSMM | 25.17 (0.32) | -4.83 | 4.84 | 0.001 | 1.000 |
| 30 | Dual-Anchor | 25.18 (0.31) | -4.82 | 4.83 | 0.001 | 1.000 |
| 30 | SSI-Weight | 3.39 (0.41) | -26.61 | 26.61 | 0.386 | 0.000 |